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How morning clouds may impact afternoon storm chances - KVOA | KVOA.com | Tucson, Arizona

How morning clouds may impact afternoon storm chances

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TUCSON - Waking up to cloud cover, a few showers & a complicated afternoon forecast.

While abundant Monsoon moisture is in place, energy needed for storms may be limited today. According to 4WARN Meteorologist Jeff Beamish, there is a 30% chance of afternoon and evening storms in Metro Tucson. Favored areas for scattered storms today appear to be east of the Old Pueblo.

Daytime highs reach the low 90s this afternoon, running 7-9° below average for mid July.

If morning cloud cover can erode quickly, much of southeastern Arizona would stand a better chance of scattered storms today & tonight.

High pressure the rest of the work week parks over the Central US, which is not a favorable pattern to develop widespread Monsoon storms. Rain chances remain at 30% Wednesday and Thursday, dropping to 20% on Friday. As storm chances decrease, temperatures flirt with 100° Friday afternoon.

Long range models indicate a mid-level disturbance possibly enhancing storm development this weekend. Saturday and Sunday features a 40% chance of storms with highs in the mid to upper 90s.

Watch Jeff for a complete look at your forecast today on News 4 Tucson at Noon. Follow Jeff's weather updates on FacebookTwitter and his blog.

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